Publications¹⁶

Aber, J.D., S.V. Ollinger, C.A. Federer, P.B. Reich, M.L. Goulden, D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, and R.G. Lathrop, Jr. 1995. Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the northeastern U.S. Climate Research 5: 207-222.

D.S. Alves and D.L. Skole. Characterizing Land Cover Dynamics Using Multi-Temporal Imagery. Int. J. Remote Sensing, 1996, vol. 17, no. 4, 835-839.

Ardo, J., Lambert, N., Henzlik, V., and Rock, B.N. 1997 (in press). Satellite-based estimations of coniferous forest cover changes in the Krusne Hory, Czech Republic, 1972-1989. Ambio.

Braswell, B.H., D.S. Schimel, J.L. Privette, B. Moore III, E.W. Sulzman, A.T. Hudak, and L.F. Klinger. Extracting ecological and biophysical information from Pathfinder AVHRR using models of canopy radiative tranfer. Spring Meeting, American Geophysical Union. May, 1995; Baltimore, Maryland.

Braswell, B.H., D.S. Schimel, D.S. Ojima, and P. Tans. Decadal-scale temperature anomalies and transient modeling of terrestrial ecosystem CO2 fluxes. International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics XXI General Assembly. July, 1995; Boulder, Colorado.

Braswell, B.H., and J.L. Privette. Inverse modeling for retrieval of vegetation biophysical characteristics. Aspen Global Change Institute. July, 1995; Aspen Colorado.

Braswell, B.H., J.L. Privette, and D.S. Schimel. A technique for combining geometrical and spectral BRDF information for retrieval of plant canopy characteristics using AVHRR optical data. International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium. May 1996; Lincoln, Nebraska.

Braswell, B.H., D.S. Schimel, J.L. Privette, B. Moore III, W.J. Emery, E.W. Sulzman, and A.T. Hudak. Extracting ecological and biophysical information from AVHRR optical measurements: an integrated algorithm based on inverse modeling. Journal of Geophysical Research, 101(D18):23335-23348, 1996.

Bubier, J.L., Rock, B.N. and Crill, P.M. 1997 (in press). Spectral reflectance measurements of boreal wetland and forest mosses. JGR Special Issue (on BOREAS).

Famiglietti, J.S., B.H. Braswell, and F. Giorgi. Process controls and similarity in the U.S. continental-scale hydrological cycle from EOF analysis of regional climate model simulations. Hydrological Processes, 9:437-444, 1995.

Federer, C.A., C. J. Vorosmarty, and B. Fekete. 1996. Intercomparison of methods for potential evapotranspiration in regional or global water balance models. Water Resources Research 32:2315-21.

Fischer, A., J. Kaduk, D. Kicklighter, and the participants of the Potsdam NPP Model Intercomparison. In preparation. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Analysis of the seasonal behaviour of NPP, LAI, FPAR along climatic gradients across ecotones.

Heimann, M., G. Esser, A. Haxeltine, J. Kaduk, D.W. Kicklighter, W. Knorr, G.H. Kohlmaier, A.D. McGuire, J. Melillo, B. Moore, R.D. Otto, I.C. Prentice, W. Sauf, A. Schloss, S. Sitch, U. Wittenberg, and G. Wurth. Submitted. Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models through simulations of the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2: First results of a model intercomparison study. Global Biogeochemical Cycles.

Holland, E.A., B.H. Braswell, A. Townsend, J.-F. Lamarque, J.-F. Muller, F. Dentener, G. Brasseur, H. Levy II, J.E. Penner, G. Roelofs, and J. Sulzman. The spatial distribution of nitrogen deposition and its impact on terrestrial ecosystems. Journal of Geophysical Research, In press.

Joyce, L.A., J. Mills, L. Heath, A.D. McGuire, R.W. Haynes, and R.A. Birdsey. 1995. Forest sector impacts from changes in forest productivity under climate change. Journal of Biogeography 22: 703-714.

Kharouk, V.I., Middleton, E.M., Spencer, S.L., Rock, B.N., and Williams, D.L. 1995. Aspen bark photosynthesis and its significance to remote sensing and carbon budget estimates in the boreal ecosystem. Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 82: 483-497.

Kharouk, V.I., Morgun, V.I., Rock, B.N., and Williams, D.L. 1995. Chlorophyll fluorescence and delayed fluorescence as potential tools in remote sensing: A reflection of some aspects of problems in comparative analysis. Remote Sensing of Environment,

Kicklighter, D.W., A. Fischer, A.L. Schloss, M. Plochl, A.D. McGuire and the other participants of "Potsdam '95". In preparation. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Global pattern and differentiation by major biomes.

Kicklighter, D.W., J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, M. Downs, C.L.H. Thomson, and Y. Pan. In preparation. Effects of agriculture on carbon stocks and fluxes at the global scale.

Kittel, T.G.F., N.A. Rosenbloom, T.H. Painter, D.S. Schimel, and VEMAP Modeling Participants. 1995. The VEMAP integrated database for modeling United States ecosystem/vegetation sensitivity to climate change. Journal of Biogeography 22: 857-862.

Lambert, N.J., Ardo, J., Rock, B.N., and Vogelmann, J.E. 1995. Spectral characterization and regression- based classification of forest damage in Norway spruce stands in the Czech Republic using Landsat Thematic Mapper data. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 16:1261-1287.

Lawless, J.G. and Rock, B.N. 1997 (in press). Student Scientist Partnerships and Data Quality. Journ. Science Educ. and Technology.

Li, C, S Frolking, GJ Crocker, PR Grace, J Klir, M Korchens, PR Poulton (1996) Modeling long-term soil organic carbon in agricultural soils with the DNDC model, submitted to Geoderma.

McGuire, A.D., and L.A. Joyce. 1995. Productivity of America's forests and climate change. pp. 9-45. IN: Responses of Net Primary Production to Changes in CO2 and Climate, edited by L.A. Joyce. General Technical Report No. 271 of the USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experimental Station, Ft. Collins, CO. 70p.

McGuire, A.D., J.M. Melillo, and L.A. Joyce. 1995a. The role of nitrogen in the response of forest net primary production to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 26: 473-503.

McGuire, A.D., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, and L.A. Joyce. 1995b. Equilibrium responses of soil carbon to climate change: Empirical and process-based estimates. Journal of Biogeography 22: 785-796.

McGuire, A.D., and J.E. Hobbie. In press. Global climate change and the equilibrium responses of carbon storage in arctic and subarctic regions. IN: Arctic System Science Modeling Workshop Report. The Arctic Research Consortium of the United States. Fairbanks, Alaska.

McGuire, A.D., D.W. Kicklighter, and J.M. Melillo. In press. Global climate change and carbon cycling in grasslands and conifer forests. IN: Global Change: Effects on Coniferous Forests and Grasslands. Edited by J.M Melillo and A.I. Breymeyer. SCOPE volume chapter.

McGuire, A.D., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, X. Xiao, J. Helfrich, B. Moore III, C.J. Vorosmarty, and A.L. Schloss. Submitted. The role of the nitrogen cycle in the global response of net primary production and carbon storage to doubled CO2. Global Biogeochemical Cycles.

Melillo, J.M. 1995. Human influences on the global nitrogen budget and their implications for the global carbon budget. pp. 117-133. IN: Toward Global Planning of Sustainable Use of the Earth: Development of Global Eco-Engineering, edited by S. Murai and M. Kimura. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Melillo, J.M., R.A. Houghton, D.W. Kicklighter, and A.D. McGuire. 1996. Tropical deforestation and the global carbon budget. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment 21: 293-310.

Melillo, J.M., D.W. Kicklighter, J. Helfrich, A.D. McGuire, B. Moore III, C.J. Vorosmarty, and.A.L. Schloss. In preparation. The effect of CO2 fertilization on the storage of carbon in terrestrial ecosystems: A global modeling study.

Moore, B., III, W. Cramer, G. Churkina, A. Fischer, D. Kicklighter, A. Ruimy, A. Schloss, I. Rasool, and the other participants of "POTSDAM 95". In preparation. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Overview and key results.

Moraes, J.L. C.C. Cerri, J.M. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, C. Neill, D.L. Skole, P.A. Steudler. 1995. Soil carbon stocks of the Brazilian Amazon basin. Soil Science Society of America Journal 59: 244-247.

Mosier, A. and 32 others (1996) Nitrous Oxide And Carbon Dioxide In Agriculture. OECD/IPCC/IEA Phase II Development Of IPCC Guidelines For National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Methodology, workshop report submitted to OECD/IPCC for review.

Pan, Y., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, and J.M. Melillo. 1996. The importance of climate and soils on estimates of net primary production: A sensitivity analysis with the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model. Global Change Biology 2: 5-23.

Pan, Y., J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, L.F. Pitelka, K. Hibbard, D.S. Schimel, and VEMAP Members. Submitted. Response of terrestrial ecosystems to elevated atmospheric CO2: A comparison of simulation studies among biogeochemistry models. Oecologia.

Pan, Y., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, X. Xiao, and A.D. McGuire. In preparation. Potential response of net primary productivity in terrestrial ecosystems of China to climate changes: A simulation study by Terrestrial Ecosystem Model coupled with vegetation redistribution.

Perez-Garcia, J., L.A. Joyce, C.S. Binkley, and A.D. McGuire. In press Economic impacts of climatic change on the global forest sector: an integrated ecological/economic assessment. Critical Reviews in Science and Technology, Vol. 27.

Prinn, R., H. Jacoby, A. Sokolov, C. Wang, X. Xiao, Z. Yang, R. Eckaus, P. Stone, D. Ellerman, J. Melillo, J. Fitzmaurice, D. Kicklighter, Y. Liu, and G. Holian. 1996. Integrated global system model for climate policy analysis: I. Model framework and sensitivity studies. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 7. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 76 p.

E. Rignot, W.A. Salas, and D.L. Skole. Mapping Deforestation and Secondary Growth in Rondonia, Brazil, Using Imaging Radar and Thematic Mapper Data, January 1997. Remote Sens. Environment. 59:1997, Elsevier Science Inc.

Rock, B.N., Blackwell, T.R., Miller, D., and Hardison, A. 1997 (in press). The GLOBE Program: A Model for International Education. In: Internet Links for Science Education, Cohen, K., Editor, Plenum Publ. Corp. NY.

Rock, B.N. and Lawless, J.G. (in press). The GLOBE Program: A source of datasets for use in global change studies. IGBP Global Change Newsletter.

Rock, B.N. and Lauten, G.N. 1996. K-12th grade students as active contributors to research investigations. Journ. Science Educ. and Technology, 5: 255-266.

Schimel, D.S., B.H. Braswell, E.A. Holland, R. McKeown, D.S. Ojima, T.H. Painter, W.J. Parton, and A.R. Townsend. Climatic, edaphic, and biotic controls over storage and turnover of carbon in soils. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 8(3):279-293, 1994.

Schimel, D.S. and B.H. Braswell. Equilibration and nonlinear dynamics of the terrestrial water, nitrogen, and carbon cycles. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, In press.

Schimel, D.S., B.H. Braswell, R. McKeown, D.S. Ojima, W.J. Parton, and W. Pulliam. Climate and nitrogen controls on the geography and time scales of terrestrial biogeochemical cycling. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, In Press.

Schimel, D.S., I. Enting, M. Heimann, T. Wigley, D. Raynaud, D. Alves, U. Siegenthaler, et al. The carbon cycle. In: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1994 Working Group I Interim Report (Several IDS members were Contributing Authors).

Schimel, D.S., W.R. Emanuel, B. Rizzo, T.W. Smith, F.I. Woodward, H. Fisher, T.G.F. Kittel, T. Painter, N. Rosenbloom, R. McKeown, D.S. Ojima, W.J. Parton, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, J.M. Melillo, Y. Pan, A. Haxeltine, C. Prentice, S. Sitch, K. Hibbard, R.R. Nemani, L.L. Pierce, S.W. Running, J.G. Borchers, J. Chaney, R.P. Nielson, and B.H. Brasswell. In press. Spatial variability in ecosystem processes at the continental scale: Models, data and the role of disturbance. Ecological Monographs.

Schloss, A.L., C.J. Vorosmarty, C.J. Willmott, and B.J. Choudhury. 1996. Analyzing the discharge regime of a large tropical river through remote sensing, ground-based climate data and modeling. Proc. IGARSS T96. IEEE.

Schloss, A.L., U. Wittenberg, D.W. Kicklighter, J. Kaduk and the other participants of "Potsdam '95". In preparation. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Relationships of annual NPP to spatial climatic drivers and the normalized difference vegetation index.

D.L. Skole, W.A. Salas, and C. Silapathong. Interannual Variation in the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle: Significance of Asian Tropical Forest Conversion to Imbalances in the Global Carbon Budget. Paper presented at the Fourth Science Advisory Council of the International Geosphere Biosphere Programme, Beijing, China, October 1995. Draft version 31 December 1996.

Smith, P, JU Smith, DS Powlson, JRM Arah, OG Chertov, K Coleman, U Franko, S Frolking, HK Gunnewick, DS Jenkinson, LS Jensen, RH Kelly, C Li, JAE Molina, T Mueller, WJ Parton, JHM Thornley, AP Whitmore (1996) A comparison of the performance of nine soil organic matter models using datasets from seven long-term experiments, submitted to Geoderma.

Spencer, S.L., Rock, B.N., and Kharouk, V.I. 1995. Assessing aspen bark carbon assimilation in the Boreal Region. American Meteorological Society, Proceedings of the 22nd Conf. on Agricultural and Forest Meteorology and 12th Conf. on Biometeorology and Aerobiology, 1:86-89.

Steudler, P.A., J.M. Melillo, B.J. Feigl, C. Neill, M.C. Piccolo, and C. C. Cerri. 1996. Consequence of forest-to-pasture conversion on CH4 fluxes in the Brazilian Amazon Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research 101: 18,547-18,554.

Tian, H., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, Y. Pan, X. Xiao, and J. Helfrich. In preparation. Transient responses of terrestrial carbon fluxes and storage at the continental scale to changes in atmospheric CO2 and temperature from 1854 to 1990.

Townsend, A.R., B.H. Braswell, E.A. Holland, and J.E. Penner. Spatial and temporal patterns of potential terrestrial carbon storage resulting from deposition of fossil fuel derived nitrogen. Ecological Applications, 6(3):806-814, 1996.

VEMAP Members. 1995. Vegetation/ecosystem modeling and analysis project: Comparing biogeography and biogeochemistry models in a continental-scale study of terrestrial ecosystem responses to climate change and CO2 doubling. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 9:407-437.

Vorosmarty, C.J., C.A. Federer and A. Schloss. 1997. Potential evaporation functions compared on U.S. watersheds: Implications for global-scale water balance and terrestrial ecosystem modeling. Ecological Applications. (In review).

Vorosmarty, C.J., B. Fekete, and B.A. Tucker. 1996. River Discharge Database, Version 1.0 (RivDIS v1.0), Volumes 0 through 6. A contribution to IHP-V Theme 1. Technical Documents in Hydrology Series. UNESCO, Paris.

Vorosmarty , C.J., C.J. Willmott, B.J. Choudhury, A.L. Schloss, T.K. Stearns, S.M. Robeson, and T.J. Dorman. 1996. Analyzing the discharge regime of a large tropical river through remote sensing, ground-based climatic data, and modeling. Water Resources Research 32: 3137-50.

Vorosmarty, C.J. Sharma, K., Fekete, B., Copeland, A.H., Holden, J., Marble, J. and J.A. Lough. 1997. The storage and aging of continental runoff in large reservoir systems of the world. Ambio. (In press)

Vorosmarty, C.J., R. Wasson, and J.E. Richey (eds.). 1997. Modeling the Transport and Transformation of Terrestrial Materials to Freshwater and Coastal Ecosystems. Workshop Report and Recommendations for IGBP Inter-Core Project Collaboration. IGBP Secretariat, Stockholm. (In press).

Vorosmarty, C.J., C. Li, J. Sun, and Z. Dai. 1997. Emerging impacts of anthropogenic change on global river systems: The Chinese example. In: J. Galloway and J. Melillo (eds.), Asian Change in the Context of Global Change: Impacts of Natural and Anthropogenic Changes in Asia on Global Biogeochemical Cycles. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. (In press).

Vorosmarty, C.J. and B.J. Peterson. 1997. Macro-scale models of water and nutrient flux to the coastal zone. In: J. Hobbie (ed)., SCOPE Estuarine Synthesis. (In review).

Xiao, X., D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, P.H. Stone, and A.P. Sokolov. 1995. Responses of primary production and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 3. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 20 p.

Xiao, X., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, P.H. Stone, and A.P. Sokolov. 1996a. Relative roles of changes in CO2 and climate to equilibrium responses of net primary production and carbon storage of the terrestrial biosphere. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 8. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 34 p.

Xiao, X., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, A.D. McGuire, and J. Helfrich. 1996b. Net primary production of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its equilibrium responses to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 12. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Xiao, X., D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, P.H. Stone, and A.P. Sokolov. In press. Linking a global terrestrial biogeochemical model and a 2-dimensional climate model: implications for the carbon budget. Tellus.

Xiao, X., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, P.H. Stone, and A.P. Sokolov. Submitted. Relative roles of changes in CO2 and climate to equilibrium responses of net primary production and carbon storage of the terrestrial biosphere. Climate Research.

Xiao, X., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, A.D. McGuire, and J. Helfrich. Submitted. Net primary production of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its equilibrium responses to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration. Acta Botanica Sinica.